A few weeks ago Kansas State and Oregon were projected to meet in the BCS Championship game. This week SB Nation projects that the Ducks and Wildcats will play in a bowl game, just not for the National Championship. Oregon has completed its regular season at 11-1 and is a virtual lock for an at-large BCS berth despite not reaching the Pac-12 title game. Kansas State will win the Big 12 championship and an automatic BCS bowl berth as long as it beats Texas this coming week.
As for the bigger picture, half of the BCS title game appears to be set. Notre Dame has completed a 12-0 regular season and will play in the BCS championship game. They will most likely play the winner of the SEC championship game between Alabama and Georgia.
One surprise to the BCS party could be Kent State or Northern Illinois from the MAC. Northern Illinois is at No. 21 in this week's BCS standings and Kent State is at No. 17. The winner of the MAC championship game, if it reaches No. 16 in the final BCS standings, would automatically qualify for a BCS bowl because they will finish ahead of the Big East champion.