NCAA Tournament 2011 Predictions: Popular Upset Pick Is Oakland-Texas

Last week I thought the Texas Longhorns had an outside shot at a No. 1 seed if they could win the Big 12 tournament. They got to the final but dropped the championship game to the Kansas Jayhawks moving their season record to 27-7 and 13-3 in the Big 12. For that, I was guessing they'd be a No. 2 or a No. 3 seed.

Wrong. Texas was a four seed, which seemed a little low in my mind. They're matched up against Oakland, the 13th seed, in their first round game. SB Nation's Burnt Orange Nation previews Oakland and they look good:

Oakland just finished brutalizing the Summit League, both during a 17-1 regular season and the conference tournament, which they dominated with three wins by a combined 50 points. They check in at No. 69 on Ken Pomeroy's ratings, they are the 12th tallest team in the entire country, feature an enormous NBA prospect, and shoot the ball exceptionally well.  Scipio thinks they're the best No. 12-16 seed in the tournament, and except for Utah State, I agree.  If Texas isn't sharp, they'll lose, which isn't the case for, oh I don't know, say, Florida, who could play like absolute garbage and beat UC Santa Barbara by 20.

The Longhorns a 9.5-point favorite in this game which isn't a very big line considering the seeding. From what I've been reading, Texas is a popular pick to be upset in round one. Is this more about Texas, or is it more about Oakland? K-State is playing Utah State and, as BON noted, they're a very good No. 12 seed, but the Wildcats aren't getting the same upset picks as Texas.

I'm tempted to follow the crowd and go with Oakland because everyone loves a good upset but this Texas team was too good for too long for me to pick against them. What's up with everyone picking against Texas? Maybe I don't get it.

Trending Discussions

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join SB Nation Kansas City

You must be a member of SB Nation Kansas City to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SB Nation Kansas City. You should read them.

Join SB Nation Kansas City

You must be a member of SB Nation Kansas City to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at SB Nation Kansas City. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.