NFL Picks Week 4: Chargers Are Only AFC West Team Favored To Win

The Kansas City Chiefs are on a bye week but that doesn't mean it's still an important week.

For the Chiefs, they have the opportunity to move to 2.5 games over everyone in the division. They're current 3-0 and everyone else in the division -- Broncos, Raiders and Chargers -- are 1-2.

So if all three other AFC West teams lose, the Chiefs gain .5 games in the AFC West.

For a team like the Chargers, they're just warming up this season while the Broncos are nearing crisis mode with an away game at Baltimore and home game against the Jets coming up. The Raiders are, well, the Raiders.

Here's how the AFC West games are shaking out in Week 4:

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Denver Broncos at Tennessee Titans

When: 12:00 p.m. Sunday, CBS

SB Nation Broncos: Mile High Report

SB Nation Titans: Music City Miracles

Kyle Orton for the Broncos is actually playing very well, if no one has noticed. The Broncos are 1-2 (so he can't be doing that much right) but they have some positives going for them.

The Titans strength is running the football, while the Broncos are about 10th against the run. The Titans don't have much of a passing attack and that's good for Denver, who is 29th against the pass. Chris Johnson is looking for 2,500 yards rushing this season and needs a massive game against Denver to do it.

For Denver, this is nearing desperation time because, after this, they travel to Baltimore then host the Jets. A loss here and a 1-5 start  is very possible.

The Titans are a seven point favorite. While I see them winning, it'll be closer than that. Make this Titans by three.

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Houston Texans vs. Oakland Raiders

When: 3:00 p.m. Sunday, CBS

SB Nation Texans: Battle Red Blog

SB Nation Raiders: Silver And Black Pride

The Texans are just three point favorites. I figured it would be higher than that.

Entering this game, Houston is 2-1 and among the best offenses in the country while Oakland is 1-2 -- but field goal away from being 2-1 -- and already on their backup quarterback. Yes, Bruce Gradkowski has stepped ahead of Jason Campbell, who they traded for from the Redskins this offseason.

Look for the Texans to take care of business here. The Raiders defense is good, particularly Nnamdi Asomugha, but Oakland can't realistically expect to hang with Houston offensively.

Houston will take this game by more than three.

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Arizona Cardinals at San Diego Chargers

When: 4:00 p.m. Sunday, FOX

SB Nation Cardinals: Revenge Of The Birds

SB Nation Chargers: Bolts From The Blue

The other two AFC West teams are not favored to win but San Diego is. They've done their annual slow start and now it's time for their annual hot finish.

Looking at the stats, I'm just not sure how the Cardinals are very good. San Diego should take this one handily.

It's the second ranked passing offense (SD) against the 19th ranked passing defense and the 12th ranked rushing offense (SD) against the 31st rushing defense.

The Cardinals can pick their poison.

The Chargers are heavy (eight point) favorites.