NFL picks, Week 5: NFL.com predicts Ravens over Chiefs, 26-20

The Kansas City Chiefs (1-3) remain 7-point underdogs at home on Sunday when they host the Baltimore Ravens (3-1) at Arrowhead Stadium.

According to Elliot Harrison at NFL.com, the Chiefs may cover the seven points but will not win the game; he predicts the Ravens will hold off the Chiefs 26-20. In their three losses, the Chiefs have given up an average of 37 points per game, but Harrison thinks the hostile environment at Arrowhead could bother Joe Flacco against a desperate Chiefs' defense.

On the other side of the ball, the Ravens defense remains a tough test regardless of where they are playing. Harrison doesn't think Kansas City quarterback Matt Cassel nor the Chiefs offense as a whole, is playing well enough to overcome the pressure they will see from Ray Lewis, Ed Reed and friends on the Baltimore defense.

So while the Chiefs may not give up as many points this week, Harrison thinks scoring 20 points will be a chore for the K.C. offense which should result in another loss for the Chiefs.

The game will kick off at noon CT and will be televised on CBS.